PhD trend analysis forcasting

[th!nkstyle]

at what point will collective human intelligence have defined enought of what we know and don't know?

Right now, i believe the amount of PhDs being handed out is increasing exponentially. when will the inflection point be hit?

I know this is partially a funtion of population increase, but lets call that a moot point for now, im just interested in the trend line alone.

Will it ever happen, or could people just start redefining what a PhD can be?

And what about new feilds being defined the most right now? where is the most action these days? i would say its probably biology area that has the most unknown to be explored right now. I forget where I read it but I agree with the author that " we are ending the age where electrical technology was advancing humanity to most, and we are entering the age of biotechnology.

[eyebyte_atWork]

I think when a field is young - the foremost experts qualify as PHD's in that field - but most likely have PHD's from other fields.

But while there have been advances in many fields (irgo - these fields have matured) the PHD has become harder to get - requiring more years os study to get them... example - physics. It used to take about four years after your BS - but now can easly take 7 or more.

[th!nkstyle]

I think when a field is young - the foremost experts qualify as PHD's in that field - but most likely have PHD's from other fields.

But while there have been advances in many fields (irgo - these fields have matured) the PHD has become harder to get - requiring more years os study to get them... example - physics. It used to take about four years after your BS - but now can easly take 7 or more.

so maybe the question should be rephrases and it should be asked at which point will we get an inflectoin point due to the fact that people wont want to spend to long to do it, and all the fields will get like that?

[eyebyte_atWork]

so maybe the question should be rephrases and it should be asked at which point will we get an inflectoin point due to the fact that people wont want to spend to long to do it, and all the fields will get like that?


hmmm... I dunno.

[Dr. Haight]

It used to take about four years after your BS - but now can easly take 7 or more.
Yes, it's a weeding process, or intellectual attrition, as it were. This issue of supply and demand does not apply to new fields of study, however. Therefore, time to degree would be less in emerging areas, as opposed to your example of physics. Simply stated, there is just more data to absorb in the established fields.

[Architectonic]

D.Sc>Ph.D